Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; It appears as if theres a change of guard happening in San Fransisco. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. As a model for other running backs, one of the greatest running backs of all time is a horrible example. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Sigmund Bloom: Johnson was still in line to start after he took a pay cut to stay with the Texans, but then the team added Phillip Lindsay after he and the Broncos parted ways, which embroils Johnson in a frustrating committee backfield in an offense that is likely to be among the league's worst. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. Here's our list of the greatest 30 running backs in NFL history. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. Walter Payton 5. This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his current ADP of RB13 and 20th overall. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. Henderson was arguably the best blocking fullback during the late 90s, paving the way for nine 1,000 yard rushers in his 12 years in Green Bay. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Has no highlight reel. Yep. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Jamal Lewis 18. Sigmund Bloom: Barkley may not be 100% to start the season, and he might not truly be 100% until next season. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. Sigmund Bloom: One year after the signing of Gordon indicated a lack of faith in Phillip Lindsay -- that bore out with Lindsay being allowed to leave in free agency this offseason -- the Broncos moved up in the second round to take Javonte Williams, indicating a lack of faith in Gordon. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. DYAR: 96 DVOA: 0.085% His average DYAR of 96 would rank him 24th in the NFL in 2009, right ahead of Laurence Maroney. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. The team didn't improve a problem defensive line. But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. 1 status. Marcus Allen 15. He has had 9,088 receiving+rushing yards over his career. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. A new offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh also adds uncertainty to the situation. THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOOTBALL RBs | 2022 Fantasy Football Advice Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). Single The Top Ten 1 David Beckham David Robert Joseph Beckham is (born 2 May 1975) is an English former professional footballer, the current president & co-owner of Inter Miami CF and co-owner of Salford City.. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. Henry is one of my favorite players in the league, but there are preferable first-round picks for me in 2021. I believe it is more accurate to measure a RB by per season averages, because running backs such as Jim Brown did not play long. Given Russell Wilson's historical propensity to score rushing touchdowns in goal-line situations, it's hard to get overly excited about Williams, particularly in PPR formats. Coach Brian Flores comes from New England, where they liked employing a committee, and now they have come out publicly to say this will, in fact, be a committee in Miami. McKissic. Thurman Thomas 14. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. There's too much risk to draft him as an ever-week starter. Detroit signed Jamaal Williams to take the heavy work and kicked the tires on Todd Gurley before declining his addition. Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. That number of targets limited his ceiling, and he was barely a low-end RB2. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. A veteran, a trade, or another team's roster cut is more likely to be the bigger threat. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. But he's 29, he's undersized, he had a hard time staying healthy last year, he adds little as a pass catcher, and the San Francisco backfield is awfully crowded now. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Dave Kluge: To close out the 2020 season, Cam Akers saw 21, 29, 15, and 21 carries over his last four games. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. Drafters are still grabbing David Johnson due to projected volume, yet in their first preseason game, Houston utilized Phillip Lindsay on first and second downs with the starters while David Johnson was restricted to a third-down role. His lack of use as a runner has to be a concern. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. This is a major factor to any expectation that Robinson is fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the very early weeks in the season. 1 cornerstone. In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. To point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. Jim Brown 2. Tevin Coleman is one of those veteran thorns in the sides of young backs to garner touches. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Swift has already broken the injury seal with a groin issue in camp, and Jamaal Williams has already been spoken of highly as a potential 1A to Swift's No. He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. I'm out. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. 1. McKissic returns from injury to his role as the pass-catching back, and Washington also drafted Brian Robinson Jr in the third round. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Even last year, as the Panthers starter, he averaged just 3.9 yards-per-carry. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Therefore, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Davis was great in relief of Christian McCaffrey in Carolina last year, but he got tired quickly. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. Frank: Most overrated and underrated Eagles: RBs | RSN "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. Phil Alexander: Michael Thomas' ankle injury opens up additional targets for Kamara, who will operate as New Orleans' de facto No. When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. The Top Ten. Ty Johnson has strong athleticism and played over Carter in the first week of the preseason, and La'Mical Perine has a similar profile to Carter. They did not pick up his fifth-year option and took Zamir White in the fourth round of the NFL Draft. Jordan McNamara: Like Gaskin, David Johnson is in a cloudy situation after Philip Lindsay drew the starting role in Houston in week 1. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. Simpson 13. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + Edmonds is a great player who offers a ton of talent on the field to help win games, but he will never be the high volume type of player that we are all desperately looking for each year. I would probably rank him around 43. I understand the upside, but I don't want to take a huge miss if I'm drafting in Week 1. Ryan Hester: Short of Taysom Hill (if he wins the job), this whole offense is an avoid for fantasy football right now. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time - TheTopTens This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. The current regime did not select Robinson. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. . James is the more physically gifted player. McKissic take the bulk of receiving work in Washington -- even though Gibson himself is a converted wide receiver. Projecting a fourth-round pick to take over the backfield would be fine if there was evidence that this was happening. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue. Perhaps the political and social issues depicted in 'The Grapes of Wrath" were too controversial. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time by Team By Paul Ladewski, updated on September 10, 2021 Matt York / AP Photo Don't you just love it that sports media are so quick to hype athletes as the biggest and the best. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. But when we look closer, The Bus only averages 1,050 rushing yards per year and 7 touchdowns, far from elite stats. Gordon isn't going away just because fantasy managers want him to. Gibson is more likely to lose his job than return a significant profit on his draft price. The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. So as we can see, Bettis had about the 9th best run blocking offensive line in the NFL during his career. Lets take a look at the average Jerome Bettis season: 277 carries, 1051 yards, 3.9 YPC, 7 TDs. That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. Yeah, us, too. Search my work, about me, and maybe -if I ever get around to it - my blog. While the opportunity is undeniable, it's risky betting on Davis as the answer. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. Jacobs is not the alpha; he's one of many in the Vegas backfield. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History | Stadium Talk Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB7. By the end of the year, that may change, but Etienne will be a change-of-pace and gadget player who might earn flex value this year until then. 25 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys No one can take away his heroics stepping in for Christian McCaffrey, and he was rewarded in the offseason when Atlanta presumably signed him to be new coach Arthur Smith's feature back. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. Gary Davenport: Drafting an RB1 based on wishful thinking isn't an ideal strategy, yet Williams keeps getting picked inside the top-12 at his position. In 2020, James Conner ranked 36th and Benny Snell ranked 54th in expected yards-per-carry out of 55 qualifiers, a sign of a weak offensive line and scheme. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. I am a heretic in that regard. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. Unfortunately, the odds are stacked against Kamara repeating as the best player in fantasy football. Jordan McNamara: Fixing your running game by drafting running backs is a losing strategy. No thanks. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. Andy Hicks: If people are using a fourth or fifth-round pick on Myles Gaskin, they will end up disappointed. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB14 | Consensus Projections RB10. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago.

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